In this episode Jay Zhao and I talk about:

• What investment opportunities Jay is currently excited about?
• Jay’s favorite investment so far – Sleeper
• How can a Venture Capitalist stay honest and humble?
• How are the interests of entrepreneurs and venture capitalists aligned?
• What is the best way for founders and VC’s to find a “common match”?
• Is the ‘big stagnation’ real? Will AI solve our GDP growth issue?
• What is the best company to start in China right now?
• Is China now ‘more entrepreneurial’ and ‘more common-sense’ than the US?
• Is China now in a similar phase as Germany was post world-war I?
• What role does the ‘superiority complex’ play in China, Germany or Japan.
• What are China’s best cities?

Jay Zhao is an entrepreneur-turned-VC, and is currently Managing Partner at Leonis Capital, he was a Partner at T Fund (aka TCL Ventures) and Walden Venture Capital before.

You can reach Jay via LinkedIn.

In this episode of The Judgment Call Podcast David Orban and I talk about:

• The forgotten story of COVID-19 spread in Europe in late 2019
• What makes a Futurist?
• What does the Fermi paradox tell us about intelligent life in the universe?
• Is Peter Thiel’s ‘Big Stagnation’ thesis spot on?
• Why the jump in Artificial Intelligence progress (2012-2020) is so meaningful.
• What is a ‘jolting technology’ as introduced by David?
• Will AGI happen soon? Why ‘human level’ AGI is not a good comparison to look at.
• Will the ‘knowledge singularity’ happen in 2038 (i.e. a human level AI will be available for $1,000)?
• Why we haven’t been visited by intelligence from outside the solar system?
• How can we ‘colonize the universe’ despite being able to travel ‘just’ with the speed of light.
• Are we in a simulation and how will we simulate ourselves?
• Has the world really gotten way more complicated in the last 20 years?
• Is ‘string theory’ flawed after all?
• The case for ‘Universal Basic Income (UBI)’ as per David Orban.
• What are the technologies and fields that will see exponential growth in the next 10 years?

David Orban is a thinker, investor, futurist and technophile. He has been a mentor with the Thiel fellowship for many years. He was one the first investors in Ether and early investor in Bitcoin.

You can reach David Orban via his website.

In this episode of The Judgment Call Podcast Niels Pflaeging and I talk about:

• What’s the prototype of a ‘democratic’ (flat) organization? What companies are examples of that?
• Is Mariana Mazzucato right that innovations are mostly based on taxpayer funded research?
• Why the US military is a surprising example of a ‘flat organization’?
• and much more 🙂

Niels Pflaeging is the founder of red42, a leadership philosopher, management exorcist, speaker, author, and advisor.

Niels’ latest book – Organize for Complexity: How to Get Life Back Into Work to Build the High-Performance Organization  – is now available on Amazon.

In this episode of The Judgment Call Podcast Daniel Gross and I talk about:

• What attracted Daniel to starting companies in the first place?
• What makes (scalable) software special for entrepreneurs?
• What are the incentives in Open Source software ecosystem?
• Is religion a major driver for entrepreneurship? What are the drivers for starting a company and where does this unending optimism come from?
• How can ‘gamification’ help us learn?
• How can we institute measurements for long-term consumer satisfaction?
• How ‘Youtube style learning’ will change the future of the next generation.
• What benefits pioneer.app offers to successful applicants?
• How Pioneer can help curate a body of knowledge in entrepreneurship.
• Is entrepreneurship an algorithm?
• Are the BIG 5 personality traits predictive in a founder success?
• Daniel’s views on the ‘Big stagnation’.
• Daniel’s tips for the best places to start a company.

Daniel Gross is an entrepreneur and thinker and futurist who started out with Cue (a search engine). He later worked for Apple and joined  Y Combinator as a partner. Daniel is also an angel investor and runs his own (remote) distributed accelerator /incubator called pioneer.app (funded by Stripe and Marc Andreessen).

You can reach Daniel on Twitter.

In this episode of The Judgment Call Podcast Peter Bordes and I talk about:

• What drove Peter to become a serial entrepreneur?
• What is the archetype of an entrepreneur composed of?
• Is the current path to success for many startups broken? Is the ‘old boys network’ still in charge of the IP pipeline?
• What impact does the ‘death if the industrial age’ have on the tech industry?
• How does Peter’s investment process work?
• Peter’s plan to incorporate a body of knowledge for successful entrepreneurship and building a business (the four pillars).
• Has Silicon Valley already moved into the cloud and left the local area?
• How will education work in the future? How will we motivate people to learn? How will we choose topics? What value does mentorship have?
• Are startup accelerators like YCombinator a good way for startups to grow?
• What role religion plays in entrepreneurship?
• How travel to other regions influenced Peter and what adventures he lived through.
• What is ‘positive PTSD’?
• How we have all been swept up by this person-to-person proganada (in order to sell more).
• Will we have an AI that prospects us from Big Tech propaganda soon?
• What will be the outcome the media upheaval?
• Will there be a singularity of knowledge accumulation soon?
• Do we live in a simulation? Will we simulate our own minds soon?

Peter Bordes is a serial entrepreneur, executive, investor, mentor and advisor. He currently runs Trajectory Capital,  TruVest and MainBloq.

You can reach Peter on Linkedin.

In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Bill and I talk about:

• Should seed investors only invest in companies ‘that an idiot’ can run?
• What role does talent play in seed rounds?
• The short history of Angel Investing and Seed Funds
• Bill’s first start-up and how he got into Venture Capital
• The short history of Garage Technology Ventures and Guy Kawasaki
• The TOP 10 lies of entrepreneurs & The TOP 10 lies of investors?
• How does the VC industry help establish trust in the marketplace?
• Crowdfunding and it’s future and influence
• The problem with the monopoly of Google and Facebook in online advertising
• Are Vision Fund investments IPO pipeline deals a bad idea for IPO investors?
• Why the Federal Reserve policy and zombie companies pose a ‘structural risk’ for the US economy.
• Garage Technology’s best and worst investments
• Has the technology adoption cycle shortened?
• Is the big stagnation in tech real?
• Should we invest more money into basic research?
• Will Artificial General Intelligence happen anytime soon?
• Will the jobs replaced by AI matter more than one’s created by AI?
• Will the next 20 years see more technological progress and/or more volatility?
• Will there be another ‘sucker punch’ to the global economy before we start the roaring 30s?
  

Bill Reichert can easily be described as the ‘Oracle of Palo Alto’. After grinding his teeth in his own start-ups in the 1980’s and 1990s; he has been working as a seed stage investor since 1998 initially with Garage Technology Ventures and now under the roof of Pegasus Tech Ventures.

You can reach Bill on LinkedIn.

In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Kelly and I talk about:

• How much you should specialize early in your life.
• Should you listen to ‘billionaire mentors’?
• Are military values are great basis for entrepreneurship? Is leadership training a predictor for start-up success?
• Why gretel.ai and id.me are some of Moonshot Capital’s best investments.
• How did COVID change the ‘deal flow’ for Venture Capital firms?
• What impact will Crowdfunding have on Venture Capital?
• What impact does religion have on entrepreneurship?

Kelly is a VC, Entrepreneur, Military Veteran, Winner of Season 2 – The Apprentice, and father of twins. Kelly is the co-founder & Managing General Partner of Moonshots Capital.

You can reach Kelly on LinkedIn.

P.S. Apologies for my audio quality – this will get much better very soon!

In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Mike and I talk about:

• How it feels to risk your life every day as a NAVY SEAL.
• Why and how society has moved away from the values presented and embedded by the military?
• Why the NAVY SEAL’s ‘Basic Training’ is anything but BASIC.
• How Mike went from Atherton, CA to the military.
• How can talent be identified? What role does leadership development play in large corporations?
• Can you still be effective when selling to big corporations HR departments?
• Will AI ever be able to identify talent and how effective can it be at this?

Mike is the author of The Talent War: How Special Operations and Great Organizations Win on Talent – now available on Amazon.

MIKE SARRAILLE is a retired U.S. Navy SEAL officer, a graduate of the University of Texas McCombs Business School, and now a leadership instructor, speaker and strategic advisor for Echelon Front. Mike served fifteen years as an officer in the SEAL Teams and five years in the U.S. Marine Corps as an enlisted Recon Marine and Scout-Sniper. Mike served in SEAL Team THREE, Task Unit Bruiser alongside Extreme Ownership authors Jocko Willink and Leif Babin where he led major combat operations that played a pivotal role in the Battle of Ramadi in 2006. Mike is a recipient of the Silver Star, six Bronze Stars, two Defense Meritorious Service Medals, and a Purple Heart.

Upon his retirement from the Navy, Mike joined Echelon Front as leadership instructor, speaker, strategic advisor. He is CEO of Echelon Front Overwatch, a company that specializes in the recruiting, training and placement of U.S special operations forces veterans.

In this episode of the The Judgment Call Podcast Darren and I talk about:

• What lead Darren to become a serial entrepreneur
• The dilemma of choosing a career path and the emotional toll of being a serial entrepreneur
• Has the adoption of technology slowed down and what to expect in the next 20 years?
• How does crowdfunding work? What amounts can companies raise right now and in the near future?
• How do crypto based funding rounds work (and ICOs) compared to crowdfunding?
• What business do best using crowdfunding?
• What does issuance.com provide for startups and what’s the “Going Public” show?
• What is the role of religion in entrepreneurship?

Darren Marble is the CEO of Issuance.com, the leading provider of technology and marketing solutions for Reg A+ issuers raising capital in the US and Canada. issuance.com’ clients have raised over $250 million to date.

Darren is also the Executive Producer of Going Public®, a new original series that allows viewers to invest in IPOs.

You can reach Darren on Linkedin.

In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Steve and I talk about:

• Will AI be an existential challenge to humanity anytime soon?
• What progress AI has been making and why it has sped up in the last 10 years so much?
• Is AI already smarter than teenagers?
• Is Twitter’s / Facebook AI evil?
• Why are self-driving cars such bad drivers currently? Will self driving cars be autonomous very soon?
• Are we inside a simulation and could we create one easily?
• Has AI already changed the job market to be more short-term?
• Will AI increase the quality of life?
• What opportunities are there for entrepreneurs right now?

Steve Shwartz began his AI career as a postdoctoral researcher in the Yale University Artificial Intelligence Lab. Starting in the 1980s, Steve was a founder or cofounder of several AI companies, one of which created Esperant, which was one of the leading business intelligence products of the 1990s. As the AI Winter of the 1990s set in, Steve transitioned into a career as a successful serial software entrepreneur and investor and created several companies that were either acquired or had public offerings.  He is the author of “Evil Robots, Killer Computers, and Other Myths:  The Truth About AI and the Future of Humanity” which will be published on February 9, 2021 by Fast Company Press and maintains a website www.AIPerspectives.com that contains a free, 400-page, online AI 101 textbook.

You can reach Steve at LinkedIn.

You can find the episode’s transcript here.